Polymarket Trader

newnewbie

0x3a8496b4158abeced697030695d99bba480e0340

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $33.46
Realized PnL: $213.96
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.04
Potential profit: $17.04
User PnL: -$2.66

No position

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $14.28
Potential profit: $12.78
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $4.54
Potential payout: $14.22
Potential profit: $9.68
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $13.81
Potential profit: $11.81
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.86

No position

Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $12.69
Potential profit: $10.09
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.52

No position

Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $12.63
Potential profit: $12.55
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $10.44
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $10.26
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: -$1.15

No position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $10.71
Potential profit: $8.84
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1.02

No position

Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $4.84
Potential payout: $10.4
Potential profit: $5.56
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Austria leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.1

No position

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.82
Potential profit: $9.82
User PnL: -$1.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.9
Potential profit: $8.9
User PnL: -$1.07

No position

Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $4.82
Potential payout: $8.69
Potential profit: $3.87
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $3.08

No position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $8.69
Potential profit: $7.43
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.65

No position

Norway to score first vs. Iraq?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$1.84

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1.85

No position

Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $7.4
Potential profit: $5.77
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.94
Potential profit: $6.94
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $5.55
Potential profit: $4.25
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $5.55
Potential profit: $5.19
Multiplier: 15.63x
User PnL: -$1.64

No position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $3.39
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.13
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$0.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.25

No position

Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.51

Pablo Carreno Busta position

Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Lehecka

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.19

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.61

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.88

Golden Knights position

Avalanche vs. Golden Knights

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

Julia Grabher position

Roland Garros WTA: Julia Grabher vs Rebecca Sramkova

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.83

Eliot Spizzirri position

Roland Garros ATP: Eliot Spizzirri vs Frances Tiafoe

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Baltimore Orioles position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Kaitlin Quevedo position

Roland Garros WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Leolia Jeanjean

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.66

No position

Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39

San Francisco Giants position

Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05

Yes position

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 87°F or below on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?

No 20% 8.69 shares
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5

Under 59% 5 shares
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5

Under 42% 5 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 15% 12.5 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

No 31% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 21?

No 63% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?

No 48% 5 shares
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs

ex-RUBY 36% 5 shares
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Yes 27% 5 shares
Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5

Under 57% 5 shares
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

No 24% 7.4 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 40% 5 shares