Polymarket Trader

kisforchaos

0x3a8b817ba9bf718b63f16e0e0b5e5cefffdbc9f8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $623.87
Realized PnL: $2.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26K
Potential profit: $5.26K
User PnL: -$99.99

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $3.03K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.92K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $216.58
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $788.44
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $16.58

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $961.54
Potential profit: $961.54
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.4%
Current value: $402.25
Potential payout: $831.95
Potential profit: $429.7
Multiplier: 2.07x
User PnL: -$97.75

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.89
Potential profit: $109.89
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $104.17
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.49
Potential profit: $68.49
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.73
Potential profit: $61.73
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $18.33
Potential profit: $13.29
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$5.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.14

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $191.07

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.66

Texans position

Texans vs. Steelers

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.98

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.08

Yes position

Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.23

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.16

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.82

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.25

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Trail Blazers position

Spread: Suns (-3.5)

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.3

Broncos position

Bills vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.08

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $92.9

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.71

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.99

Yes position

Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.84

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.08

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.96

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.63

Yes position

Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.05

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.44

Knicks position

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.04

Rams position

Rams vs. Bears

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Argentina 74.7% 267.56 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Spain 99.8% 204.48 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Spain 74.7% 204.48 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 60.1% 831.95 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.9% 1,005.03 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

14.9% 163.13 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Yes 32% 156.25 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 73% 136.99 shares
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw? AND Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? AND Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?

2.5% 971.2 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? AND Will England win on 2026-07-05?

1.8% 2,688.75 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 52% 48.08 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 40% 62.5 shares