Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $14.26
- Potential payout
- $271.67
- Potential profit
- $257.4
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$16.74
Polymarket Trader
dalbaebka
0x3a9b292f2b52d70b5af79bb7e542463dce4b5e0d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.47
- Realized PnL
- $250.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $12.96
- Potential payout
- $33.66
- Potential profit
- $20.7
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $31.17
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.83
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.16
- Potential profit
- $32.16
- User PnL
- -$10.94
Yes position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $4.53
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $18.72
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$5.47
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.5
- Potential profit
- $15.5
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $11.67
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.33
Yes position
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $7.41
- Potential profit
- $7.29
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.65
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.53
Yes position
Will Everton win on 2025-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.42
N
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.09
Yes position
Will Everton win on 2025-05-25?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.76
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.66
Yes position
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.41
Yes position
Will Fulham win on 2025-05-18?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.35
Yes position
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-25?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.91
Yes position
Will West Ham win on 2025-05-25?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.54
Yes position
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-25?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
Yes position
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-18?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
Yes position
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-11?
Ends May 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.81
Yes position
Will Leicester win on 2025-05-18?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.89
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.86
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.74
Yes position
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-20?
Ends May 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.61
No position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.03
Yes position
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-11?
Ends May 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Yes position
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.61
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?Yes 38% 8.47 shares
- Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?Yes 14% 38.46 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 13% 27.27 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 13% 6.66 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 68% 15.62 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 83% 13.15 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?Yes 35.7% 33.66 shares
- Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?No 70% 17.14 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?No 46% 26.09 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?No 95.4% 4.87 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 91% 3.38 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 59% 3.39 shares