Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $182.97
- Potential payout
- $2.81K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$193.94
Polymarket Trader
fluf1000
0x3aa5ac3fbf94c02592d7fff3bc04adcaf558d233
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $209.67
- Realized PnL
- $33.65
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $26.7
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $573.3
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$39.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.7%
- Multiplier
- 3.90x
- User PnL
- $66.95
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $39.75
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $34.27
Yes position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.67
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.72
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $2.11
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.49
Yes position
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$44.33
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 15% 2,814.97 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 23.4% 300 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 23.2% 720.98 shares
- Trump declares election interference national emergency?Yes 23.2% 95.23 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 500 shares
- Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 1% 1,000 shares
- Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 0.3% 3,333.33 shares
- Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes 48.9% 154.75 shares
- Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes 32.3% 154.76 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 24.5% 840.33 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 11% 600 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 5.5% 412.27 shares