Polymarket Trader

Lsc8899

0x3ab0b0b2b6666397c706beb8f4ce820e297ca9c1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $441.79
Realized PnL: $863.09
Win rate: 76.9%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$35

No position

Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $706.79
Potential profit: $706.79
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $59.53
Potential payout: $517.65
Potential profit: $458.12
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$98.47

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $343.39
Potential profit: $343.39
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $270.27
User PnL: -$10

No position

Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $268.71
Potential profit: $268.71
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $266.63
Potential payout: $267.57
Potential profit: $0.94
User PnL: $175.23

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $26.31
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $211.79
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: $6.31

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.29
Potential profit: $214.29
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$29.5

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.55
Potential profit: $154.55
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $10.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89.55
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: -$3.55

No position

Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $17.7
Potential payout: $94.41
Potential profit: $76.71
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: -$2.3

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.33
Potential profit: $93.33
User PnL: -$11.2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $56.03
Potential payout: $88.24
Potential profit: $32.21
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $26.03

No position

Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 2 over 20% on Friday?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.29
Potential profit: $84.29
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.65
Potential profit: $74.65
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $4.64
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $66.79
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$5.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.32
Potential profit: $52.32
User PnL: -$9.94

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $369.41

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.71

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.58

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.11

No position

Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.68

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.67

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.67

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.01

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.43

US position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $9.97

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$10.26

Israel position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$69.92

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$101.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

No 82.1% 267.55 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 34% 88.24 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

No 42% 71.43 shares
AI bubble burst in 2026?

Yes 21.2% 94.41 shares
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Yes 5.6% 178.57 shares
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?

No 20% 100 shares
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 26.8% 74.65 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Yes 1.9% 512.82 shares
US recession by end of 2026?

Yes 30.5% 517.65 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 5.8% 343.39 shares
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 13.8% 320.4 shares
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?

No 7.1% 706.79 shares