Polymarket Trader

equitychronicle

0x3ab30c00d65e5169f093199017ca5890e97d9cd6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $94.81
Realized PnL: $250.93
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 76.4%
Current value: $43.33
Potential payout: $56.71
Potential profit: $13.38
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$6.67

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $51.48
Potential payout: $53.82
Potential profit: $2.34
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $30.77
User PnL: -$20

Camilo Ugo Carabelli position

Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$10

Supernova position

LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.41
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.49

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.3

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.31

Yes position

Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.11

Yes position

Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.38

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.17

Yes position

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.28

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.89

Fury position

Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.53

Ozarox Esports position

LoL: PCIFIC vs Ozarox Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Season

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.12

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.79

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.84

CYBERSHOKE Esports position

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.74

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

No position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 11.5 Total Corners

Under 95% 43.37 shares
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 11.5 Total Corners

Under 83% 43.37 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

No 89.9% 95.94 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

No 82.1% 95.94 shares
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Tristan Schoolkate

Nicolas Mejia 99.9% 1.2 shares
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Tristan Schoolkate

Nicolas Mejia 99.9% 77.85 shares
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Tristan Schoolkate

Nicolas Mejia 97.4% 79.06 shares
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

Sashi Esport 99.9% 77.16 shares
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

Sashi Esport 95.9% 77.16 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 93% 74.19 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?

No 92.9% 53.82 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 88.2% 56.71 shares