Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $6.71
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Polymarket Trader
0x3ab70A500d4929d1E655bA60CbADFc73F2099631-1772262242630
0x3ab70a500d4929d1e655ba60cbadfc73f2099631
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17
- Realized PnL
- $60.83
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $8.22
- Potential payout
- $8.56
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $6.58
- User PnL
- -$3.42
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $6.49
- Potential payout
- $6.55
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.04
100 Thieves position
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.14
Michigan Wolverines position
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.31
Édgar Cháirez position
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3
Timberwolves position
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98
Yes position
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Suns
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Rei Tsuruya position
UFC Fight Night: Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya (Flyweight, Prelims)
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No 96.1% 8.56 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?No 84% 3.25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 84% 6.55 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)Édgar Cháirez 47% 13.77 shares
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?No 52% 6.58 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya (Flyweight, Prelims)Rei Tsuruya 51% 4.73 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 24% 9 shares
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves 37% 6.32 shares
- Thunder vs. SunsThunder 78% 6.24 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No 96.2% 20.8 shares
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-18?Yes 68% 9.19 shares
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)Michigan Wolverines 52% 17.23 shares