Polymarket Trader

20251021

0x3abffa6d0b8a22423a66064ca458499225feb143

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.01K
Realized PnL: $62.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Flyers position

Red Wings vs. Flyers

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $2.03K
User PnL: -$249.92

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.94K
User PnL: -$252.01

No position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $537.6
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $582.4
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $155.07

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $376.43
Potential payout: $745.4
Potential profit: $368.97
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$11.18

No position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $614.06
Potential payout: $643
Potential profit: $28.94
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $32.17

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $609.98
Potential profit: $609.98
User PnL: -$115.92

No position

Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $352.8
Potential payout: $560
Potential profit: $207.2
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$168

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $518.68
Potential profit: $518.68
User PnL: -$114.12

No position

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.59
Potential profit: $434.59
User PnL: -$203.17

No position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.4%
Current value: $125.38
Potential payout: $365
Potential profit: $239.62
Multiplier: 2.91x
User PnL: -$187.82

No position

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $319.1
Potential profit: $319.1
User PnL: -$22.34

Under position

CA Tigre vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318.96
Potential profit: $318.96
User PnL: -$138.07

Yes position

Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $297
Potential profit: $297
User PnL: -$115.83

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Thunder

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.08
Potential profit: $296.08
User PnL: -$48.59

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $295.32
Potential profit: $295.32
User PnL: -$64.97

No position

Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-02?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.34
Potential profit: $294.34
User PnL: -$9.17

Yes position

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221.33
Potential profit: $221.33
User PnL: -$138.24

Over position

Getafe CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.99
Potential profit: $219.99
User PnL: -$61.64

Yes position

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-02?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $203.22
Potential profit: $203.22
User PnL: -$91.45

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $175
User PnL: -$56.4

Yes position

Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162.48
Potential profit: $162.48
User PnL: -$23.56

No position

Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-02?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159.64
Potential profit: $159.64
User PnL: -$68.2

Yes position

Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.4
Potential profit: $140.4
User PnL: -$7.02

Under position

Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.44
Potential profit: $137.44
User PnL: -$73.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.81K

No position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.74K

Tyrell Fortune position

UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2K

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77K

Tennessee Volunteers position

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53K

California Golden Bears position

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. California Golden Bears

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46K

Trail Blazers position

Spread: Trail Blazers (-19.5)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1K

No position

Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96K

Panthers position

Panthers vs. Senators

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92K

Makhachev position

UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

No position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

Over position

Córdoba CF vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

No position

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

Lakers position

Nuggets vs. Lakers

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Yes position

Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Once Caldas vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5

Under 83% 20.24 shares
Once Caldas vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 1.5

Under 57% 4.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Down 20% 6.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Down 35% 6.34 shares
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5

Under 50% 3.03 shares
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5

Under 50% 3.03 shares
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5

Under 50% 18.16 shares
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5

Under 50% 14.12 shares
XRP Up or Down - April 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Down 82.4% 19.63 shares
Once Caldas vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 1.5

Under 56% 4.07 shares
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)

Thunder 95% 2.01 shares
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)

Lakers 9% 4.73 shares