Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $45.04
- Potential payout
- $692.95
- Potential profit
- $647.91
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$93.55
Polymarket Trader
0leh
0x3ac31c4c54d231c1dc1b0d3ef51ad6b4e84ecc4f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.04
- Realized PnL
- $89.08
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Argentina position
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.72
- Potential profit
- $12.72
- User PnL
- -$8.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.08
No position
Russia announces air truce by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.61
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.58
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.73
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.33
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.37
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.9
No position
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina 68% 12.72 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 692.95 shares
- Russian strike on Poland by September 30?Yes 2.5% 480.2 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No 64.2% 218.45 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No 81% 138.88 shares
- Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?No 0.1% 10,890 shares
- Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?No 0.3% 6,666.67 shares
- Russian strike on Poland by September 30?Yes 4.8% 480.21 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No 49.5% 218.45 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No 72% 138.89 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?No 94% 127.8 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No 55% 159.94 shares