Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $990
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $59.01K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
0x3Ac4443Fec5D95795D6857C52C0C6884C3200E8B-1773197078829
0x3ac4443fec5d95795d6857c52c0c6884c3200e8b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $31.73K
- Realized PnL
- $32.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $2.94K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $37.06K
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$1.38K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $3.56K
- Potential payout
- $37.5K
- Potential profit
- $33.94K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$6.77K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $4.05K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $25.95K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$8.06K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $142.5
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $14.86K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.19K
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $10.13K
- Potential profit
- $8.66K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.28K
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $450
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.55K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$550
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.45K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$3.07K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $5.96K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $42
- User PnL
- $228
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $3.48K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- User PnL
- $437.5
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $3.46K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $35
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $420
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.4%
- Current value
- $1.94K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $565
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $435
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$1.86K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.7%
- Current value
- $552.98
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 3.62x
- User PnL
- -$1.03K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.3%
- Current value
- $628
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $972
- Multiplier
- 2.55x
- User PnL
- $132
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $556.6
- Potential payout
- $569.99
- Potential profit
- $13.39
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.05K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $883.99
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $855
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $787
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $760.04
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $720
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $482.03
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $475
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.9% 10,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 95.5% 1,200 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.6% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 81% 2,500 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes 79% 1,228.06 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes 68.4% 709.8 shares
- Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes 3.9% 50.9 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 4.3% 3,126.82 shares