Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.82K
- Potential profit
- $26.82K
- User PnL
- -$16.36K
Polymarket Trader
0x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b4C5-1771629524936
0x3ad146a7dae2dbab2281c7e351bedce11748b4c5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.41K
- Realized PnL
- $4.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $743.75
- Potential payout
- $850
- Potential profit
- $106.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $44.25
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$345.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $528.94
- Potential profit
- $528.94
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $499.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $54.75
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $125.69
- Potential payout
- $126
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- User PnL
- $25.71
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$14.5
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $98.84
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$48.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$20.5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $32.12
- Potential payout
- $32.2
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $7.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.11
- Potential profit
- $30.11
- User PnL
- -$26.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$27.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.53
- Potential profit
- $26.53
- User PnL
- -$4.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $21
- User PnL
- -$9.87
Yes position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$4.75
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $12.06
- Potential payout
- $12.18
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $2.32
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.25
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- User PnL
- -$3.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.75
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.99
- Potential profit
- $4.99
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $907.61
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $860.59
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $633.81
No position
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.29
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.76
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.21
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 4 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.38
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.89
Down position
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.34
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of June 15 2026?No 81% 30 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?No 80% 12.18 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 87% 150 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 15% 50 shares
- Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 26?Down 76% 40 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?Down 40% 63 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No 89% 500 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No 77% 8 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No 78% 9 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No 78% 6 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No 78% 8 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No 79% 7 shares