Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $221.39
- Potential payout
- $359.99
- Potential profit
- $138.6
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$23.4
Polymarket Trader
srger
0x3ad4c34563977fc8e7fa567215d4e4b5dcb7993e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $489.74
- Realized PnL
- -$155.5
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $268.35
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $31.65
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$13.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $16.8
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$14.4
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$29.9
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$126
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 74.1% 280 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 66% 360 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 91% 230 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 93.8% 250 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 93.8% 50 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 72.6% 1,000 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No 34% 700 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No 52% 700 shares