Polymarket Trader

PericlesBitcoin

0x3af93a31bc8de182afd814becfc626c3e6403737

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.25
Realized PnL: -$201.78
Win rate: 15.4%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.35K
Potential profit: $16.35K
User PnL: -$46.73

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $15.25
Potential payout: $15.25K
Potential profit: $15.23K
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$13.66

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.33K
Potential profit: $14.33K
User PnL: -$14.33

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.42K
Potential profit: $12.42K
User PnL: -$22.37

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $11K
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will XRP reach $2.40 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.45K
Potential profit: $10.45K
User PnL: -$59.98

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $9.31K
User PnL: -$20.75

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33K
Potential profit: $8.33K
User PnL: -$14.99

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.4K
Potential profit: $6.4K
User PnL: -$11.4

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.15K
Potential profit: $5.15K
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.7K
Potential profit: $4.7K
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.36K
Potential profit: $3.36K
User PnL: -$30.26

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $3.13K
User PnL: -$31.45

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.98K
Potential profit: $2.98K
User PnL: -$14.89

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.87K
Potential profit: $2.87K
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will XRP reach $4.00 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$22.22

Yes position

Will XRP reach $2.20 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $2.26K
User PnL: -$5.54

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $1.57K
User PnL: -$4.59

Yes position

Will Trump's remarks not air?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$7.68

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$10.2

Yes position

Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$33.43

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35.8

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.81

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$56.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Yes 0.1% 9,698.47 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Yes 0.1% 2,750 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 0.5% 555.55 shares
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 4.1% 331.46 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 10,710 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.1% 20,360 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 7,190 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 9,765 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 2,475 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 2,500 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 0.9% 555.56 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Yes 0.5% 2,800 shares