No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $351.39
- Potential payout
- $622.04
- Potential profit
- $270.65
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $33.69
Polymarket Trader
Fourkoy
0x3b0123f5e9915e58760fa4a79ce702e0b8755b36
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $955.93
- Realized PnL
- $3.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $565.6
- Potential payout
- $586.42
- Potential profit
- $20.82
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $94.6
No position
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $38.93
- Potential payout
- $39.91
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $6.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400.02
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388.41
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329.41
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.43
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.11
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.12
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.45
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.5
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.43
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.8
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.6
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $108.49
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.28
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.16
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.72
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $42.25
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.61
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.1
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.55
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.11
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.74
No position
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 46.9% 174.68 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 98.1% 81.14 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 377.36 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 97.7% 243.42 shares
- Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?No 90% 17.78 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 32.6% 50 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 68.6% 13.26 shares
- Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes 64.1% 14.5 shares
- Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?No 76.2% 22.13 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No 0.2% 1,758.08 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 64.2% 311.3 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 0.4% 3,093.85 shares