Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $23.28
- Potential payout
- $46.56K
- Potential profit
- $46.53K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.03K
Polymarket Trader
strtedfromtheb10
0x3b068bd2ee6ac21e1fc41dfa2993951371099b69
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $796.69
- Realized PnL
- -$5.78
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $26.99
- Potential payout
- $17.99K
- Potential profit
- $17.96K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$369.26
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.23
- Potential payout
- $12.46K
- Potential profit
- $12.46K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$204.98
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.09K
- Potential profit
- $12.09K
- User PnL
- -$15.18
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $56.77
- Potential payout
- $8.73K
- Potential profit
- $8.68K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$23.35
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88K
- Potential profit
- $5.88K
- User PnL
- -$26.94
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $97.94
- Potential payout
- $5.02K
- Potential profit
- $4.92K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$24.49
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.38K
- Potential profit
- $4.38K
- User PnL
- -$56.93
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.26K
- Potential profit
- $3.26K
- User PnL
- -$122.01
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.18K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- User PnL
- -$29.43
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.09K
- Potential profit
- $3.09K
- User PnL
- -$60.54
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $428.01
- Potential payout
- $2.95K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$32.87
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.71K
- Potential profit
- $2.71K
- User PnL
- -$56.98
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- User PnL
- -$28.72
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$47.61
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$16.21
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- User PnL
- -$12.91
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $10.73
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$102.3
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- User PnL
- -$21.88
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$39.18
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $105.34
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$11.62
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $40.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $959.5
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$6.3
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $677
- Potential profit
- $677
- User PnL
- -$10.83
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $599.1
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- -$3.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 14% 42.86 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 14% 200 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 14% 600 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes 4.1% 800 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes 2.3% 48.1 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?Yes 0.1% 2,721.91 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 0.5% 2,000 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes 2.2% 352.88 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 7% 400 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 10% 1,000 shares
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 0.7% 2,000 shares
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 0.7% 1,300 shares