Polymarket Trader

Chasea

0x3b0a9d0934ac00b92a9a4225c54927feaa454775

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $123
Realized PnL: $1.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $568.18
Potential profit: $568.18
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.82
Potential profit: $399.82
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $123
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $77
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.54
Potential profit: $185.54
User PnL: -$100

No position

James Comey arrested by April 29?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$125

Yes position

Will David Sacks say "Memecoin" during his February 4 presser?

Ends Feb 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.7
Potential profit: $52.7
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Fauci?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.81

Yes position

Will Biden drop out on July 21?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.16

No position

Will Walz say "Coach" at DNC speech?

Ends Aug 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.7

No position

Mass arrests at DNC?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.71

Yes position

Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.19

Virginia position

Florida State vs. Virginia

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.57

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.94

Yes position

Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.65

Yes position

Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.29

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.64

Yes position

Will Obama say "Climate change" at DNC speech?

Ends Aug 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.29

Yes position

USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.27

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.66

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.21

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

Yes position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.56

Kamala position

Who will win the debate according to polls?

Ends Sep 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

Colorado position

CFB: NDSU vs. Colorado

Ends Aug 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.71

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.46

Yes position

Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.83

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.28

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "fake news" during Michigan town hall?

Ends Aug 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros

Houston Astros 98% 100 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 36% 59.99 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Yes 35% 80 shares
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

No 99.4% 150 shares
James Comey arrested by April 29?

No 70% 80 shares
James Comey arrested by April 29?

No 69% 8 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 30% 100 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Yes 20% 500 shares
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 93% 43.01 shares
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Yes 75% 133.33 shares
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?

No 96.5% 25 shares
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 32% 312.5 shares