Polymarket Trader

sawyer2718

0x3b0e6f6afa3411781df816aa56adda71aaed6348

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $305.57
Realized PnL: $1.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $3.23K
Potential profit: $3.23K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$30.72

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $24.05
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $18.85

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $47.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $452.5
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $399.96
Potential profit: $397.36
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$37.4

No position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $79.5
Potential payout: $299.98
Potential profit: $220.49
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $47
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $153
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $19

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $90.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $9.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $9.5

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $12.8
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $27.2
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $34.38
Potential profit: $34.36
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.97

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.75

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.12

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Down 36% 55 shares
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Down 44% 17.72 shares
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Down 44% 60 shares
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Down 43% 12.67 shares
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Down 43% 113.99 shares
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Down 40% 16.94 shares
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Down 36% 402.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Down 10% 85.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Up 39% 16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Up 43% 7.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Down 39% 28.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Up 39% 28.68 shares