Polymarket Trader

Jason2025

0x3b275448f536eb592c1bb918034fc938f1370b98

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.33K
Realized PnL: $18.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Under position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $0.67
User PnL: $132.67

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.29K
User PnL: -$1.2K

Under position

France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$1.19K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$391.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$788.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $897.74
Potential profit: $897.74
User PnL: -$296.01

Yes position

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $773.27
Potential profit: $773.27
User PnL: -$187.94

Under position

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $706
Potential profit: $706
User PnL: -$600

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $663.22
Potential profit: $663.22
User PnL: -$7.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $640
Potential profit: $640
User PnL: -$59.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $638.05
Potential profit: $638.05
User PnL: -$257.45

Under position

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $608.26
Potential profit: $608.26
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $561.42
Potential profit: $561.42
User PnL: -$92.31

Under position

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $537.63
Potential profit: $537.63
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $520.8
Potential profit: $520.8
User PnL: -$130

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $520.71
Potential profit: $520.71
User PnL: -$14.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $514.03
Potential profit: $514.03
User PnL: -$305.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $478.76
Potential profit: $478.76
User PnL: -$95.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $452.11
Potential profit: $452.11
User PnL: -$331.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $448.83
Potential profit: $448.83
User PnL: -$26.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $430.38
Potential profit: $430.38
User PnL: -$262.69

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $414.03
Potential profit: $414.03
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $941.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $931.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $826.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $766.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $690.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $631.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $510.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $497.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $489.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $479.32

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $421.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $373.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.4

No position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.35

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5

Under 56% 214.29 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5

Under 90% 1,333.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 1,578.94 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 95% 1,578.95 shares
Spread: Austria (-1.5)

Austria 99% 50 shares
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5

Over 88% 56.82 shares
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5

Over 88% 113.64 shares
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5

Over 88% 113.64 shares
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5

Over 88% 100 shares
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5

Over 88% 77 shares
Spread: Austria (-1.5)

Austria 62% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 97.4% 170 shares