Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $28.35
- Potential payout
- $270
- Potential profit
- $241.65
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$9.75
Polymarket Trader
Vln77
@vlion_me
0x3b2e9b5f242b1355c9cb425c8c1a379a6b75e430
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $93.33
- Realized PnL
- $170.39
- Win rate
- 86.4%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $42.3
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $137.7
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $119.82
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$47.32
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $18.6
- Potential payout
- $119.99
- Potential profit
- $101.39
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.51
- Potential profit
- $114.51
- User PnL
- -$58
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $3.9
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $56.1
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$30.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $40.5
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.12
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.63
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.23
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.81
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $16.8
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.77
No position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.51
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.09
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.68
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.08
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$42.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 16% 70 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 46% 120 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 15% 30 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?Yes 81% 150 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 45% 140 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 78% 40 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 18% 50 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?Yes 38% 30 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 59% 47.61 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 30% 140 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 37.1% 48.43 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?Yes 58% 120 shares