Polymarket Trader

smorzoni

0x3b4a3a499e527194d62a7d831dc7094df63ee86d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $264.75
Realized PnL: $8.43K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $899.96
Potential profit: $899.96
User PnL: -$287.99

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $262.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $37.5
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.75
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$6.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31K

Yes position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $640

No position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $519.99

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $365

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288

Kansas Jayhawks position

California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.12

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.08

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.66

Carabelli position

Rolex Paris Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Kecmanovic position

Rolex Paris Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21

Muller position

Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Muller

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$27.25

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$97.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

No 98.8% 504.16 shares
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks

Kansas Jayhawks 89% 1,993.15 shares
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 20.9% 15 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 99.4% 2,000 shares
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 84% 32 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Yes 0.5% 500 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?

No 1.8% 555.56 shares
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No 24.6% 20 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?

No 6.3% 1,000 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Yes 0.4% 343.2 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?

No 6.2% 35.14 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?

Yes 10% 20 shares