Yes position
Will Iran strike seven countries in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
herewe
0x3b5ba62bdbc408fe7800513c07db6b40a8b526fa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.26K
- Realized PnL
- $14.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $4.66K
- Potential payout
- $44.39K
- Potential profit
- $39.73K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.45K
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.7K
- Potential profit
- $43.7K
- User PnL
- -$219.97
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $420.67
- Potential payout
- $25.5K
- Potential profit
- $25.07K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$119.27
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.46K
- Potential payout
- $18.26K
- Potential profit
- $15.79K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.77K
Yes position
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.82K
- Potential payout
- $10.37K
- Potential profit
- $8.56K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.35K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.22K
- Potential profit
- $10.22K
- User PnL
- -$1.43K
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.7K
- Potential profit
- $8.7K
- User PnL
- -$204.73
Yes position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.46K
- Potential profit
- $6.46K
- User PnL
- -$231.22
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.79K
- Potential profit
- $5.79K
- User PnL
- -$103.99
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.74K
- Potential profit
- $5.74K
- User PnL
- -$141.99
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.56K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.42K
- Potential profit
- $5.42K
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.08K
- Potential profit
- $5.08K
- User PnL
- -$39.99
Yes position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $310.71
- Potential payout
- $4.14K
- Potential profit
- $3.83K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$289.28
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.99K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$86
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$981.81
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $55.49
- Potential payout
- $3.58K
- Potential profit
- $3.52K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$44.75
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.01K
- Potential profit
- $3.01K
- User PnL
- -$719.99
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$699.99
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$286.5
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $509.21
- Potential payout
- $2.91K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$216.79
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $2.86K
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64K
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $896.78
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $869
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $735.83
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $653.73
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $636.68
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $616.58
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $520.41
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $478.2
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $466.64
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $417.54
Yes position
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $397.79
No position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $272.36
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.71
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.84
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.24
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.22
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.45
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.85
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.76
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.36
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 10.8% 929.92 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 10% 1,100 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 81.7% 1,166.16 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 11% 500 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 26% 400 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 20% 600 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 18% 400 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 18% 2,000 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.2% 300 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 5.4% 1,200 shares
- Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?Yes 7% 600 shares
- Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Yes 22% 102.3 shares