Polymarket Trader

dfghn

0x3b602946e08b760b9184fa281fce6b3a62c6e147

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.12
Realized PnL: $3.24
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $0.73
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $1.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Fabiano Caruana win the Sinquefield Cup 2025 chess tournament?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $1.47
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ferrari finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $1.45
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.42
Potential payout: $1.42
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $1.39
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kathy Bates win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series?

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $1.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $1.06
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Eric Adams drop out first?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on August 4?

Ends Aug 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of November?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Israel strike 1 country in October 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 PGA Tour Player of the Year award?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

No one announced as next James Bond?

Yes 54% 1.85 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 54% 1.85 shares
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?

Yes 88% 1.14 shares
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?

Yes 70% 1.43 shares
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Yes 72% 1.39 shares
Will Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Yes 97.5% 1.03 shares
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Yes 94.5% 1.06 shares
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 PGA Tour Player of the Year award?

Yes 96% 1.04 shares
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of November?

Yes 82% 1.22 shares
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?

Yes 89% 1.12 shares
Will Ferrari finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?

Yes 69% 1.45 shares
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?

Yes 72% 1.39 shares