Polymarket Trader

splash886

0x3b621466d298a1754d827ef3da24dd8a0ba2728a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.06K
Realized PnL: $17.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $3.21K
User PnL: -$100.35

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $757.2
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $42.8
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $22

No position

Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $303.92
Potential payout: $304.99
Potential profit: $1.07
User PnL: $3.92

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91K

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14K

Under position

Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $623.24

Over position

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600

Cavaliers position

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576.73

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $563.94

Under position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $554.4

Under position

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520.71

Over position

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520.2

Under position

Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500

Under position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $488.92

Knicks position

Spread: Knicks (-2.5)

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480.2

76ers position

Spread: Celtics (-8.5)

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $468

Lakers position

Spread: Rockets (-4.5)

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $460.8

Timberwolves position

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $451.03

Under position

Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450.5

Knicks position

Spread: Knicks (-1.5)

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440.56

Rockets position

Spread: Rockets (-17.5)

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $431.6

Under position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $416.16

Spurs position

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $416.16

Knicks position

Spread: Knicks (-7.5)

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $416.15

76ers position

Spread: Knicks (-7.5)

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $416.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)

Las Vegas Aces 32.5% 100 shares
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?

No 98.4% 304.99 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 68% 99.99 shares
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

Spurs 52% 800 shares
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

Spurs 52% 100 shares
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Spurs 52% 600 shares
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)

Cavaliers 50% 800 shares
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)

Cavaliers 52% 770 shares
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)

Thunder 57% 700 shares
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

Pistons 53% 755 shares
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5

Over 54% 740 shares
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5

Under 50% 370 shares