No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.94K
- Potential profit
- $15.94K
- User PnL
- -$124.99
Polymarket Trader
0x3B77482D17f6953e8dAa1d7E69b111FfA72627cd-1771634623985
0x3b77482d17f6953e8daa1d7e69b111ffa72627cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $546.46
- Realized PnL
- $3.61K
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $530.34
- Potential payout
- $14.14K
- Potential profit
- $13.61K
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$433.14
Yes position
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $803.69
- Potential profit
- $803.69
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $93.5
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $9.62
- Potential payout
- $96.15
- Potential profit
- $86.54
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.38
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.72
- Potential profit
- $44.72
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $481.57
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.48
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.23
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.63
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Khamenei seen in public by February 28?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 1st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 2nd?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$59.99
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$80
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes 4% 7,457.93 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 30% 300 shares
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes 9.1% 1,099.72 shares
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes 10% 200 shares
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 6.2% 803.69 shares
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes 10% 1,000 shares
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes 10% 500 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?No 11.1% 897.85 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?No 8.2% 606.66 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 0.1% 10,000 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 55.9% 44.72 shares
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes 9% 1,106.16 shares