Polymarket Trader

Thug4

0x3b8802558a216a0d4d77150f5c9fe18aa131efcb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $739.58
Win rate: 81.3%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $815.93
Potential profit: $815.93
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the US strike another country first?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265.44
Potential profit: $265.44
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US strike another country first?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.53
Potential profit: $149.53
User PnL: -$5.61

Lakers position

Celtics vs. Lakers

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.75
Potential profit: $93.75
User PnL: -$30

Suns position

Celtics vs. Suns

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.02
Potential profit: $87.02
User PnL: -$50.47

Pistons position

Spurs vs. Pistons

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.53
Potential profit: $70.53
User PnL: -$30.33

49ers position

49ers vs. Seahawks

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.45
Potential profit: $42.45
User PnL: -$25.79

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.83
Potential profit: $4.83
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.77
Potential profit: $1.77
User PnL: -$0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $473.69

No position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $180.04

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.13

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $41.67

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.51

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $32.97

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.95

Suns position

Suns vs. Heat

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Broncos position

Bills vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.92

Rams position

Rams vs. Bears

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Bills position

Bills vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.42

Bears position

Rams vs. Bears

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.77

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$142.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20.3% 5,128.2 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.5% 5,128.21 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 71,428.57 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 20.7% 4.83 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?

Yes 58% 666.61 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?

Yes 43.1% 666.61 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 38% 7,894.74 shares
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 94% 3,600.31 shares
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 89% 3,600.32 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 94.6% 3,386.77 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 93.6% 3,386.77 shares
Celtics vs. Suns

Suns 58% 87.02 shares