No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.27
- Potential profit
- $106.27
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
ken24650321
@ken24650321web3
0x3b8b40fdb3b7f9dbf9047ffa50ab236c4a2671f4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $201.72
- Realized PnL
- $153.62
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $17.25
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $57.75
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$36.75
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $55.37
- Potential payout
- $57.47
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.37
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $52.33
- Potential payout
- $55.17
- Potential profit
- $2.84
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $29.81
- Potential payout
- $38.96
- Potential profit
- $9.16
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $27.07
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $17.07
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $19.89
- Potential payout
- $22.47
- Potential profit
- $2.58
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.48
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.95
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.86
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.08
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
No position
Military action against Iran ends by March 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.66
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?Yes 36% 27.78 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 77% 38.96 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 22.47 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes 72% 75 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 83% 60.97 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?No 88.4% 56.58 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?No 83% 43.37 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No 94.1% 106.27 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 82% 60.98 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 94% 53.19 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No 98% 102.04 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 95% 52.63 shares