Yes position
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.02K
- Potential profit
- $6.02K
- User PnL
- -$18.06
Polymarket Trader
crastsa
0x3b8bb510a4b02a05df5f4d32cffee1fb8277a7c8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $236.14
- Realized PnL
- $64.17
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $132.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $17.25
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $15.85
Yes position
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $146.74
- Potential profit
- $145.79
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $102.44
- Potential payout
- $108
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.6
No position
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.56
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Yes position
Solana ETF approved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
No position
Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 27-Jan 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Chris Paul lead the NBA in Assists?
Ends Apr 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Brentford wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
90k position
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No 77.9% 150 shares
- Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes 0.7% 2,503 shares
- Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes 0.8% 2,503 shares
- Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 0.6% 4,744.33 shares
- Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 0.7% 4,891.07 shares
- Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 99.3% 100 shares
- Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 96% 109 shares
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes 0.2% 5,342 shares
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes 0.2% 5,442 shares
- Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?No 99.1% 60 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 90.5% 112 shares
- Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 0.3% 6,021.2 shares