Polymarket Trader

tumadre

0x3ba25f668e48018826f9bd8daf86b2bd13ed4f27

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $57.69
Realized PnL: $14.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$503.47

Yes position

Will Solana reach $250 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $0.60 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $498.24
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$8.75

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $0.80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $10.41
Potential payout: $472.97
Potential profit: $462.57
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$35.5

Yes position

Doge ETF approved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.49
Potential profit: $350.49
User PnL: -$78.76

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.7 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$30

No position

XRP above $2.20 on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$37

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2900 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$67

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $8.24
Potential payout: $51.51
Potential profit: $43.27
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$17.57

Yes position

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $23.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $26.25
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $12.25

Yes position

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.2
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$6.2

Yes position

Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $11.74
Potential payout: $30.9
Potential profit: $19.16
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $2.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

No position

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

$BTC dips below $55k before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $140 by February 28 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $901.58

Yes position

BTC ETFs first week combined AUM between $10-30 billion?

Ends Jan 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $870.32

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $837.08

Yes position

$BTC dips below $50k before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $631.09

Yes position

Solana ETF approved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $619.37

Yes position

Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $609.14

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $542.29

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting?

Ends Mar 22, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $481.02

No position

Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $457.12

Yes position

Will Trump talk about crypto by next Friday?

Ends Jun 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $406.13

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $391.85

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $344.3

Yes position

Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $318.41

Yes position

Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY?

Ends Dec 31, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.96

No position

Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $297.84

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $296.9

Yes position

Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30?

Ends Jun 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285

Yes position

Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?

Ends Jan 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.07

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $227.46

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Doug Burgum for Interior Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by June 30?

Yes 20% 40 shares
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by June 30?

Yes 23% 50 shares
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in June?

Yes 9.9% 245 shares
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in June?

Yes 10.9% 92.31 shares
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in June?

Yes 10.9% 35.67 shares
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Yes 50.1% 51.51 shares
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Yes 30% 220.36 shares
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Yes 30% 100 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2900 in July?

No 67% 100 shares
Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4?

No 4% 400 shares
Solana above $140 on July 4?

No 2.9% 169.92 shares
Will Solana reach $250 in July?

Yes 3.2% 500 shares