Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $856.75
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $157.16
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$55.62
Polymarket Trader
peterwu2026
@peterwu78854851
0x3bc46707b7818b3c9f92a793b41e75bd057353d4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $856.75
- Realized PnL
- $1.19K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346.86
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.34
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.34
Yes position
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.72
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.51
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.4%
- Multiplier
- 6.97x
- User PnL
- $52.69
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.56
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.98
Yes position
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.43
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
Yes position
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will Russia capture Velykomykhailivka by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.34
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100.8
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$232.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87% 5 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 99% 599.06 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 12% 2,051.73 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes 96% 208.09 shares
- Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes 98.2% 27.02 shares
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?Yes 1% 416.18 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes 97.7% 41.97 shares
- NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?No 97.1% 102.99 shares
- Will Russia capture Velykomykhailivka by October 31?No 98.8% 101.21 shares
- Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31?No 98.9% 101.12 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 96.3% 103.84 shares