Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
lolkiil
0x3bc6a1d71b6d88628d7e5064a3ba4e3cd320cba3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $217.72
- Realized PnL
- $461.61
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $103.85
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $280.77
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $53.85
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $113.88
- Potential payout
- $188.23
- Potential profit
- $74.35
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $13.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.8
Yes position
Will Trump and Elon say "Department of Education" during their Feb 18 interview?
Ends Feb 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.04
No position
Will the high in Washington DC be between 26-27°F on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
No position
Will Andrew Tate tweet less than 120 times Jan 17-24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.5
No position
Trump x Epstein files made public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
No position
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 48.0% and 48.4% on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.06
No position
Will Solana dip to $160 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.87
Yes position
Ripple above $2.15 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Yes position
Dogecoin above $0.31 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Will Solana dip to $120 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98
No position
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.8
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.04
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2100 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.85
No position
Will Solana dip to $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.65
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
No position
Will Solana reach $300 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
No position
Will Solana reach $290 in August?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?No 53.1% 188.23 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?No 13% 384.62 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No 99% 200 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?Yes 15% 200 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?Yes 8% 500 shares
- Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?No 89.9% 200 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No 93% 200 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No 93% 8 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?No 12% 50 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes 67% 200 shares
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No 87.2% 200 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?No 13% 100 shares