Polymarket Trader

owldfqw3f

@Jangkei3

0x3be0ec10d02d05614f8569a2d9efda02010a9836

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $201.43
Realized PnL: $9.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $120
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $200
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$18

No position

Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $49.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $250.5
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$34.5

No position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $249.99
Potential profit: $248.49
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$94

Yes position

Will Joe Reagan be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$18.8

Yes position

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.7%
Current value: $25.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $174.7
Multiplier: 7.91x
User PnL: -$23.7

No position

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.75
Potential profit: $174.75
User PnL: -$92.37

Yes position

Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $149.77
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$18.62

Yes position

Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.85
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $96.37
Potential profit: $96.32
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88
Potential profit: $88
User PnL: -$12.4

No position

Will Frank Pallone Jr. be the Democratic nominee for NJ-06?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$7.6

No position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.06
Potential profit: $64.06
User PnL: -$16.51

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$14.5

Yes position

Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Misa Esports Win Emea Challengers Stage

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.36
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $37
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.8

No position

Will Mallory Dittmer be the Democratic nominee for SC-05?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $39.46
Potential profit: $39.44
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.25
Potential profit: $32.25
User PnL: -$5.16

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.91
Potential profit: $30.91
User PnL: -$16.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-04?

Ends Dec 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53K

Nets position

76ers vs. Nets

Ends Feb 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62K

Bulls position

Nets vs. Bulls

Ends Dec 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $829.88

Magic position

Hornets vs. Magic

Ends Feb 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $776

Aces position

Storm vs. Aces

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $720

No position

Will Wolves win on 2024-11-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $619.37

Texans position

Texans vs. Jaguars

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.1

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $75.52

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $73.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.6

No position

Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.94

No position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.85

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $59.1

Yes position

Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.88

No position

Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.19

No position

Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.8

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37

No position

Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.96

Sparks position

Sun vs Sparks

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?

No 64% 54.95 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 69.9% 100 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

No 95.4% 196.86 shares
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?

Yes 70.4% 60 shares
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

No 60% 50 shares
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?

No 29% 40 shares
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?

Yes 69% 20 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Yes 84% 50 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

No 71% 50 shares
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?

No 2% 199.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 3?

Yes 37% 20.6 shares
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?

No 90.7% 60 shares