Polymarket Trader

medinajack

0x3be182074c8c5cf5b360d98c1d68212c6eb83a8f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $97.11
Realized PnL: $80.86
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $35.6
Potential payout: $51.23
Potential profit: $15.63
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $11.01

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.65
Potential profit: $35.65
User PnL: -$20.32

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $33.13
Potential payout: $33.13
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $17.56

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $28.38
Potential payout: $28.38
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $11.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.69

Under position

Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.09

Under position

AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.11

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.34

Juventus FC position

Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.89

No position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France 2025?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.03

Wild position

Set Handicap: Barrios (-1.5) vs Wild (+1.5)

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Yes 47% 33.13 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 60% 28.38 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

No 57% 35.65 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 46% 54.97 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 43% 54.98 shares
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5

Under 52% 38.25 shares
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5

Under 54.9% 40.15 shares
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5

Under 51% 45.08 shares
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)

Juventus FC 45% 8.89 shares
Lugano: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Maxim Mrva

Basavareddy 51% 40.55 shares
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5

Over 58% 16.19 shares
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score

Yes 60% 26.2 shares