Polymarket Trader

CDReves

0x3bf2b9b5801d3171314aa9a3d685de9fff4370a4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.31K
Realized PnL: $1.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $953.69
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $66.3
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $108.76

Yes position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $264.62
Potential payout: $897.03
Potential profit: $632.41
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$188.16

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $578.44
Potential payout: $856.95
Potential profit: $278.51
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $333.35

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64.3%
Current value: $502.86
Potential payout: $782.06
Potential profit: $279.2
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $350.24

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $735
Potential profit: $735
User PnL: -$18.79

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $14.45
Potential payout: $675.12
Potential profit: $660.67
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $287.92
Potential payout: $593.65
Potential profit: $305.73
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$84.83

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $5.1
Potential payout: $566.25
Potential profit: $561.15
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$108.11

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $7.25
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $492.74
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $461.39
Potential profit: $461.39
User PnL: -$121.4

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $433.12
Potential profit: $432.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$51.56

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $329.33
Potential payout: $343.77
Potential profit: $14.44
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $197.94

Yes position

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $10.36
Potential payout: $300.33
Potential profit: $289.97
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$22.82

Yes position

Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $27.77
Potential payout: $300.22
Potential profit: $272.45
Multiplier: 10.81x
User PnL: $11.72

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $43.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $256.5
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$165.8

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $217.5
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $28.5

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $118.47
Potential payout: $299.92
Potential profit: $181.45
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $96.95

Yes position

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $254.09
Potential profit: $254.09
User PnL: -$38.58

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $7.08
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $192.92
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$115.42

Yes position

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $196.7
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$9.7

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $28.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $171.9
Multiplier: 7.12x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $43
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $156.98
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $2.59
Potential payout: $185
Potential profit: $182.41
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $0.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.85

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.91

Yes position

Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.06

No position

Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.03

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.94

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.14

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $63.49

No position

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $56.65

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $51

No position

Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.84

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.21

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.72

Yes position

Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.81

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.25

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

No position

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6

No position

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.3

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 94% 200 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 69.3% 26.55 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 77.3% 136.78 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 78.8% 99.99 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 91% 100 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 32.4% 50 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 57% 50 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 98% 80 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 32% 14.71 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 79% 100 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 98% 100 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 41% 100 shares