Polymarket Trader

40AA

0x3bf9651c05eca712da548880ae6e868029195ae7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $538.08
Realized PnL: $37.78
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Under position

Sahli vs. Kirkin: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $99.6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.4
User PnL: -$0.2

Under 2.5 position

Gabriele Maria Noce vs. Rocco Valente: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $99.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.15

Under position

Karol/Serdarusic vs. Sobhy/Zakaria: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $99.6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.4
User PnL: -$0.2

Karol/Serdarusic position

Set Handicap: Sobhy/Zakaria (-1.5) vs Karol/Serdarusic (+1.5)

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $99.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: -$0.3

Under position

Karol/Serdarusic vs. Sobhy/Zakaria: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $99.6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.4
User PnL: -$0.2

Under position

Salazar vs. Seye: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.45

Salazar position

Set 1 Winner: Salazar vs Seye

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.45

Under position

Salazar vs. Seye: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.45

Under position

Salazar vs. Seye: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.45

Under position

Salazar vs. Seye: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.45

Seye position

Set 2 Winner: Salazar vs Seye

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.45

Under position

Salazar vs. Seye: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.45

Over position

Salazar vs. Seye: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $1.07
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.8%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $1.05
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.04

Over position

Janvier/Uzhylovsky vs. Forcano/Vervoort: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.01

Under position

Karol/Serdarusic vs. Sobhy/Zakaria: Match O/U 23.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.61

Under position

Aoyama/Liang vs. Neel/Olmos: Match O/U 22.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.96

Under position

Aoyama/Liang vs. Neel/Olmos: Match O/U 23.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.96

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $3.63

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $3.56

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $2.3

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $1.68

G2 Minnesota position

Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Under position

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.52

Under position

Zeballos vs. Gonzalez: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Vagramov position

Set 2 Winner: Vagramov vs Miroshnichenko

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.49

Over position

Peliwo vs. Ponchet: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Peliwo position

Set 2 Winner: Peliwo vs Ponchet

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.42

Under position

Odo vs. Hursey: Total Games O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Under position

Davis Wendzel: Home Runs O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Under position

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Salazar vs. Seye: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5

Under 99% 5 shares
Salazar vs. Seye: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5

Under 99% 5 shares
Salazar vs. Seye: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

Under 99% 5 shares
Set 2 Winner: Salazar vs Seye

Seye 99% 5 shares
Gabriele Maria Noce vs. Rocco Valente: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Under 2.5 99.8% 100 shares
Salazar vs. Seye: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

Under 99% 5 shares
Salazar vs. Seye: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

Under 99% 5 shares
Salazar vs. Seye: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Over 99% 5 shares
Set 1 Winner: Salazar vs Seye

Salazar 99% 5 shares
Karol/Serdarusic vs. Sobhy/Zakaria: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

Under 99.8% 100 shares
Set Handicap: Sobhy/Zakaria (-1.5) vs Karol/Serdarusic (+1.5)

Karol/Serdarusic 99.8% 100 shares
Karol/Serdarusic vs. Sobhy/Zakaria: Match O/U 23.5

Under 99% 1.01 shares