No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $3.98K
- Potential payout
- $4.6K
- Potential profit
- $620.69
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$22.98
Polymarket Trader
0x3bfe...07a5
0x3bfeb60593d72ff4e964ed63da6ed33fbd4d07a5
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $7.32K
- Realized PnL
- -$141.8
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $142.83
- Potential payout
- $2.81K
- Potential profit
- $2.66K
- Multiplier
- 19.65x
- User PnL
- -$57.16
No position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $509.82
- Potential payout
- $637.27
- Potential profit
- $127.45
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $9.82
No position
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $488.19
- Potential payout
- $557.93
- Potential profit
- $69.74
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$11.81
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $399.21
- Potential payout
- $461.52
- Potential profit
- $62.3
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
No position
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $414.31
- Potential payout
- $455.28
- Potential profit
- $40.98
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $14.31
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $391.2
- Potential payout
- $447.09
- Potential profit
- $55.89
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$8.8
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $397.89
- Potential payout
- $421.05
- Potential profit
- $23.16
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $94.97
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $238.37
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$5.03
No position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $308.33
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $8.33
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $98.86
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $128.41
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Y
Yes position
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $14.94
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.94
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$20.45
Yes position
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$176.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 3.9% 2,543 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 38% 263.16 shares
- Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?Yes 87% 114.94 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes 30% 333.33 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?No 88% 454.55 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?No 45% 277.77 shares
- Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?No 85% 352.94 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?No 72% 277.78 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?No 89.5% 447.09 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 44% 227.27 shares
- Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No 87.9% 455.28 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 86.7% 461.52 shares