Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.9%
- Current value
- $9.95K
- Potential payout
- $12.45K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Polymarket Trader
FoldingKeene
0x3c01b99c8aed5d5dc7477f3dc3bb048290b1d612
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.06K
- Realized PnL
- $31.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $7.27K
- Potential payout
- $8.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $292.42
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $4.66K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $337.51
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $12.51
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $3.68K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$103.29
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $1.86K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $638.76
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $410
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$182.9
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $779.75
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $54.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68K
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49K
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
Yes position
Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France 2025?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
Alcaraz position
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $862.5
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $825
Yes position
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $792.58
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $770.42
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $631.41
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $576.84
Yes position
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $543.54
Oilers position
Ducks vs. Oilers
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450
No position
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429.7
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379.29
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.93
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $371.78
Howard Bison position
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.39
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Grizzlies
Ends May 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 82% 907.08 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93.2% 1,385.84 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 92% 500 shares
- Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev 59% 1.02 shares
- Hurricanes vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights 48.7% 0.85 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93% 5,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.1% 38,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.1% 7,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 92% 105.24 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.4% 176.26 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 92% 868.4 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 75 shares