Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $12K
- User PnL
- -$72
Polymarket Trader
geopolitical-expert
0x3c063bf5a71a1235780ada0c61d2fc65266a078a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.24K
- Realized PnL
- $19.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $8.52K
- Potential payout
- $10.72K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$394.19
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $1.71K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$629.77
Yes position
Will Bybit be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$26.66
Yes position
Will Upbit be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$26.66
Yes position
Will OpenSea be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$26.66
Yes position
Will Ethena be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$26.66
Yes position
Will Tether be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$26.66
Yes position
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$26.66
Yes position
Will another company be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$26.66
Yes position
Will Gemini be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$26.66
Yes position
Will Helius be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$26.66
Yes position
Will Jupiter be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$26.66
Yes position
Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$26.66
Yes position
Will Base be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$26.66
Yes position
Will AAVE be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$26.66
Yes position
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$26.66
Yes position
Will Grayscale be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$26.66
Yes position
Will Kraken be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$26.66
Yes position
Will Coinbase be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$26.66
Yes position
Will Jito be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$26.66
Yes position
Will Moonshot be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$26.66
Yes position
Will Dexscreener be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$26.66
Yes position
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$26.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19K
No position
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52K
No position
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
Yes position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $891
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $567.24
No position
Rainbow FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.41
Crawford position
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.16
Yes position
Will Oleksandr Usyk beat Tyson Fury in Ring of Fire?
Ends May 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.55
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $89.17
No position
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by Sep 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.5
Fury position
Fury Vs. KSI
Ends Oct 21, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.54
Yes position
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.44
No position
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.63
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.45
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.44
Yes position
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.17
Yes position
Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.12
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.14
Yes position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.6% 4,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.6% 2,000 shares
- Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 76% 100.47 shares
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 82.7% 86.41 shares
- Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 71% 100.54 shares
- Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 52% 137.35 shares
- Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 64% 111.59 shares
- Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 66.5% 107.33 shares
- Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 76% 93.97 shares
- Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 83% 86.05 shares
- Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 79.7% 89.65 shares
- Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 71% 100.59 shares