No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $119.99
- Potential payout
- $129.02
- Potential profit
- $9.03
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $30.96
Polymarket Trader
Nosredno
0x3c11b622d3f6d6d0e1a3188d0f46c3baad2d33c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $332.75
- Realized PnL
- $2.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $85
- User PnL
- -$41.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $31.49
- Potential payout
- $82.87
- Potential profit
- $51.38
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$9.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $53.55
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $16.45
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $14.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $33.6
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $26.4
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$7.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $53.7
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $6.3
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $8.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.21
- Potential profit
- $58.21
- User PnL
- -$19.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $40.42
- Potential payout
- $56.14
- Potential profit
- $15.72
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$39.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.78
- Potential profit
- $49.78
- User PnL
- -$37.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.49
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.81
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.3
No position
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 84°F or higher on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.89
No position
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.78
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.93
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.86
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.38
No position
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 17?No 68% 25.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 17?No 67.7% 31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 17?No 99.5% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 17?No 99.1% 51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 17?No 99.2% 60 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 17?No 99.9% 94.95 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 17?No 78.1% 60 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 17?No 80.3% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 17?No 74% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 17?No 74.4% 41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 17?No 68% 60 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 17?No 56% 70 shares