Polymarket Trader

zizzzz

0x3c12da4ac5aa6e1f747643134ca09b04ef0a405d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.58K
Realized PnL: $5.08K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $815.6
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.18K
Multiplier: 4.90x
User PnL: -$1.18K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $3.18K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $816
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.18K

Over position

France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$880

Over position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$880

Over position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$360

Over position

Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.4%
Current value: $665.55
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $834.45
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $13.05

Under position

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$855

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.4K
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $672

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$564

Over position

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$684

Ecuador position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$468

Over position

Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $531

No position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 51.1%
Current value: $511.2
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $488.8
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $11.2

Over position

Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $800
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $344

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $878.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $800

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $615.29

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $540

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $450

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.2

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.7

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.5

Djokovic position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.41

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

No position

Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

No 50% 1,000 shares
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5

Over 43.5% 1,500 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Over 57% 800 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Over 55.8% 1,200 shares
Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Spain 52% 1,400 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Ecuador 39% 1,200 shares
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

Over 44% 2,000 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5

Over 24% 1,500 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Over 44% 2,000 shares
Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Germany 47% 1,200 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

Over 57% 1,200 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Under 57% 1,500 shares