Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.8%
- Current value
- $203.36
- Potential payout
- $820
- Potential profit
- $616.64
- Multiplier
- 4.03x
- User PnL
- -$168.98
Polymarket Trader
driedsoymilk
0x3c1b9b338d405e69e3614b354cd46a25d678a414
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $376.73
- Realized PnL
- -$42.85
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $40.25
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $29.75
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $54.6
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $15.6
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $38.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $11.75
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $1.75
Yes position
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $40.28
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $4.73
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.15
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 13.5% 100 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 13.5% 330 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 68.3% 70 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 75.8% 100 shares
- Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?Yes 90% 45 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 58% 70 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 65% 60 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 85.5% 160 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 4% 100 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 73% 50 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 65% 100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 87.9% 150 shares