Polymarket Trader

Bielzi

0x3c271485fdc57990dc86645368cadf09f05897c2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $244.14
Realized PnL: $386.01
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

ROSSMANN Centaurs position

LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $471.8
Potential profit: $471.8
User PnL: -$217.03

Over position

Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.93
Potential profit: $133.93
User PnL: -$58.93

No position

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?

Ends Sep 11, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $50.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $49.5
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Angela Rayner be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.95
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$8.95

No position

Will Delta Air Lines say "Cargo" during earnings call?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $18.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $31.5
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$16.5

Yes position

Will Al Carns be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.53
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$17.03

No position

Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $34.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $15.26
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 11.7%
Current value: $5.85
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44.15
Multiplier: 8.55x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $43.75
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 Week of July 6 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 26.3%
Current value: $13.15
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $36.85
Multiplier: 3.80x
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.5
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.33
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: -$12.83

Yes position

Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $2.53
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.48
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the ME-01 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.33
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by April 17, 2027?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $39
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $22.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $27.75
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will BIG Win the XSE Pro League

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Sep 8, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $32.5
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $1.5

No position

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 total revenue per available seat mile 19.5¢+?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $29
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $21
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $13.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $36.5
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$9.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

PCIFIC position

Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.9

Minnesota Twins position

Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Tung-Lin Wu position

Tyler: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wu

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50

Over position

Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.55

GenOne position

Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.24

Under position

United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

PlayTime position

Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

KOLESIE position

Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

Under position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 6.5 Corners

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Karmine Corp Blue position

LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffs

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Under position

United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Under position

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.75

Under position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24

Patins da Ferrari position

Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54

Under position

Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

K27 position

Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.71

Yes position

Will Lyon Make Finals at MSI 2026

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 15.7%
Multiplier: 6.39x
User PnL: $2.5

Under position

Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49

Under position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49

BIG position

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.04

Alliance Guardians position

Valorant: Alliance Guardians vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

KOLESIE position

Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.94

Over position

Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 3.5 Corners

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

Pallacanestro Reggiana position

Olimpia Milano vs. Pallacanestro Reggiana

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 95.9% 32.15 shares
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

No 74.2% 50 shares
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

Lockheed Martin 66.2% 50 shares
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $120 in July?

Yes 4.7% 40.3 shares
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?

Yes 17% 49.99 shares
Will Efraim Filho win the Governor of Paraíba election?

Yes 20.2% 32.56 shares
Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?

No 7% 15.83 shares
Will Efraim Filho win the Governor of Paraíba election?

Yes 20% 7.44 shares
Will Efraim Filho win the Governor of Paraíba election?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will Efraim Filho win the Governor of Paraíba election?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?

No 57% 23.98 shares
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $2.00 on July 31, 2026?

No 86% 11.91 shares