Polymarket Trader

0x3c3956Dea8787462F7804780fE3fA9BE5A0b2FC1-1769335503581

0x3c3956dea8787462f7804780fe3fa9be5a0b2fc1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.29
Realized PnL: $63.95
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $280
User PnL: -$10.64

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $187.78
Potential profit: $187.12
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $24.63
Potential payout: $28.31
Potential profit: $3.68
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$0.37

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.97
Potential profit: $25.97
User PnL: -$20

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.48

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.75

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.16

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

No position

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 88.3% 28.31 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 65% 15.38 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 77% 25.97 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 92% 21.74 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 187.78 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.8% 280 shares
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 79% 24.46 shares
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?

Yes 48% 10 shares
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

No 77% 15.63 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 77.3% 15 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 83% 12.05 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 70% 10.57 shares