Polymarket Trader

bvmontes

@BrunoVMontes

0x3c3e91c3c67ee59e058f179f33193ab7424f5a86

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.38
Realized PnL: $79.34
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.03K
Potential profit: $7.03K
User PnL: -$5.53K

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of June 22 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.9
Potential profit: $90.9
User PnL: -$40

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.35
Potential profit: $90.35
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.18
Potential profit: $86.18
User PnL: -$68.94

No position

Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.41
Potential profit: $56.41
User PnL: -$44

No position

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $18.38
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $11.03
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$1.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.84

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.12

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.93

Yes position

Will Kalshi: Trade the World Cup be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Ends Nov 13, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 63%
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.7B?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will NRG win the EWC Valorant Tournament

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 26%
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $2.75B and $3.25B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?

Yes 11.1% 166.66 shares
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 22% 74.07 shares
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

No 88.5% 22.05 shares
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?

Yes 43% 10.01 shares
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?

No 96.6% 20 shares
Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 24% 58.82 shares
Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio <86%?

Yes 22% 87.22 shares
Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 AL Central title?

No 92.9% 21.03 shares
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by September 30, 2026?

No 84% 4.96 shares
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title

Yes 78.8% 25 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 56.8% 83.45 shares
Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?

Yes 44% 59.07 shares