No position
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.35K
- Potential profit
- $3.35K
- User PnL
- -$649.47
Polymarket Trader
playballs
0x3c3fa70e71a7fbad80355b1c7e7eb13e89a0a1bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $361.23
- Realized PnL
- $19.2
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $632.17
- Potential profit
- $632.17
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $315.31
- Potential profit
- $315.31
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Current value
- $277.65
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $22.35
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $11.63
- Potential payout
- $280.28
- Potential profit
- $268.65
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Fed abolished before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $226.8
- Potential profit
- $221.81
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$5.01
Yes position
US defaults on debt by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $5.77
- Potential payout
- $169.68
- Potential profit
- $163.91
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- -$4.23
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $107.65
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $51.19
- Potential payout
- $52.91
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.81
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.9
No position
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 31.9% 478.71 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 91.5% 300 shares
- Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 18.3% 1,600 shares
- Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 96.4% 9.45 shares
- Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 14.9% 133.73 shares
- Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 20.6% 388.4 shares
- Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 70% 9.46 shares
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No 94.5% 52.91 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 17% 117.65 shares
- US defaults on debt by 2027?Yes 5.9% 169.68 shares
- Fed abolished before 2027?Yes 4.4% 226.8 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Yes 3.6% 280.28 shares