Yes position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $5.71
- Potential profit
- $5.37
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Polymarket Trader
0x3c47...f21f
0x3c47af374166dfb7e6b3db0231578b615f5ff21f
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $12.41
- Realized PnL
- $8.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.44
- Potential profit
- $4.44
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $2.03
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $2.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2.02
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2.01
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $2.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
NOVEX position
LoL: NOVEX vs VARREL YOUTH (BO3) - LJL Stage 2 - Group A
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Raptors position
Magic vs. Raptors
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Pacers position
Pacers vs. Nets
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 3% and 4%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 2.02 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 35% 5.71 shares
- Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.3% 85.51 shares
- Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.4% 85.51 shares
- Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.2% 85.59 shares
- Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.3% 85.6 shares
- Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.8% 80 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No 98% 2.04 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 98.2% 2.04 shares
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.1% 87.7 shares
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.2% 87.7 shares
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.1% 87.7 shares