Polymarket Trader

flagmanR

0x3c4caf898b96b68a00a2bb6f2e99d50c01c4066e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $35.53
Realized PnL: $796.64
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $4.86
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $222.41
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.9%
Current value: $6.54
Potential payout: $73.92
Potential profit: $67.38
Multiplier: 11.30x
User PnL: $1.54

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $63.64
Potential profit: $63.6
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.97

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $38
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on July 5?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.81
Potential payout: $12.48
Potential profit: $10.67
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$3.18

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $3.11
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $9.09
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$1.89

No position

Will XRP reach $1.15 on July 5?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.1

No position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $7.89
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $7.28
Potential profit: $2.41
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $7.04
Potential profit: $3.91
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$1.87

No position

Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $3.82
Potential payout: $6.32
Potential profit: $2.49
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$1.17

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 6?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 73.3%
Current value: $4.42
Potential payout: $6.04
Potential profit: $1.61
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $0.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.32

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.01

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.9

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.34

CSDIILIT position

Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.82

Yes position

Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.74

ECHO position

Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.37

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.22

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.73

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.97

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.03

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.02

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.44

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.57

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.41

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on July 3?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.09

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 6?

No 65.6% 6.04 shares
Will Meta (META) close above $600 on July 6?

Yes 58.9% 10 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 38.2% 15.01 shares
Will Meta (META) close above $600 on July 6?

Yes 69% 7 shares
Will XRP reach $1.15 on July 5?

No 41% 10 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 5?

No 80% 7.5 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 5?

No 78% 6 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 5?

No 80% 7.5 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 5?

No 80% 7.5 shares
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on July 5?

No 60% 10 shares
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on July 5?

No 60% 10 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 6?

No 87% 6 shares