Polymarket Trader

ev1710

0x3c4f0a0dec4b0c76a7e90e2458b8216a773f831e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.43K
Realized PnL: $22.6K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.79K
Potential profit: $10.79K
User PnL: -$5.79K

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $7.02K
Potential payout: $7.55K
Potential profit: $528.27
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.52K

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $6.5K
User PnL: -$6K

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $2.53K
Potential payout: $3.81K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$165.64

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $3.04K
Potential payout: $3.1K
Potential profit: $52.65
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $44.17

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $106.85
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $335.93

Team Falcons position

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$1K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.3K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.74K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02K

No position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $627.28

Yes position

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.71

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.7

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.22

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.52K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.02K

No position

Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.5K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 7% 6,896.55 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 59.6% 7,546.69 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 29% 6,896.55 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

No 96.9% 3,096.81 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 70.8% 3,811.07 shares
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

No 77.2% 1,942.79 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 25,000 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 25,000 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.3% 13,896.58 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 34.6% 8,670.52 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 28.7% 5,226.06 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 77% 20,609.09 shares