Yes position
Will Arman Tsarukyan win against Shara Magomedov?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- -$1.59K
Polymarket Trader
torgarien
0x3c4f68cb5a8ef03813a5e2636c73f1eb7b691c95
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $321.74
- Realized PnL
- $2.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $321.74
- Potential payout
- $389.99
- Potential profit
- $68.25
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $678.16
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $658.09
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $492.54
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.93
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.81
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.39
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.34
No position
Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.36
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 83.6% 1,520.02 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No 82% 3,099.52 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No 65% 3,989.15 shares
- Will Arman Tsarukyan win against Shara Magomedov?Yes 88.4% 259.98 shares
- Will Arman Tsarukyan win against Shara Magomedov?Yes 86.2% 605.04 shares
- Will Arman Tsarukyan win against Shara Magomedov?Yes 83% 10 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 93% 1,604.88 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No 74.4% 2,575.58 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No 67% 1,492.54 shares
- Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?No 96.5% 2,917.49 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No 95% 2,816.14 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?Yes 99.5% 2,675.33 shares