Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Polymarket Trader
0x3C57B55F62F7ed3a790E40D227A7f56293a8278E-1774440146185
0x3c57b55f62f7ed3a790e40d227a7f56293a8278e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.12
- Realized PnL
- $83.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.37
- Potential profit
- $53.37
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $24.73
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.33
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.71
- Potential profit
- $15.71
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $9.4
- Potential payout
- $13.34
- Potential profit
- $3.93
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $12.22
- Potential profit
- $12.21
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.93
Yes position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.41
- Potential profit
- $5.41
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $3.39
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Y
Yes position
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $1.84
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $2.32
- Potential payout
- $2.82
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Trump say "Dumocrat" or "Dumbocrat" or "Dumacrat" during Tele-Rally?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
I'll read the skill first to apply the correct format.Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.96
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $0.55
- Potential payout
- $1.75
- Potential profit
- $1.2
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.47
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.8
Yes position
Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.7
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.89
No position
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will Ozzy Lusth win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 64% 1.56 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes 64% 1.56 shares
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 64% 1.56 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Yes 59% 3.39 shares
- Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 75% 1.33 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 91% 1.1 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 68% 1.47 shares
- Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 57% 1.75 shares
- Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Yes 68% 1.47 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?Yes 62% 1.61 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Yes 69% 1.45 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?Yes 85% 1.18 shares