Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.21K
- Potential profit
- $56.21K
- User PnL
- -$10.82K
Polymarket Trader
eightpenguins
0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $63.23K
- Realized PnL
- $391.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $23.1K
- Potential payout
- $50.22K
- Potential profit
- $27.12K
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $5.84K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.2%
- Current value
- $5.72K
- Potential payout
- $40.18K
- Potential profit
- $34.46K
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- $164.1
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $27.56K
- Potential payout
- $31.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.94K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.91K
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.8K
- Potential profit
- $25.8K
- User PnL
- -$6.76K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22K
- Potential profit
- $22.22K
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
Yes position
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22K
- Potential profit
- $22.22K
- User PnL
- -$15.34K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22K
- Potential profit
- $22.22K
- User PnL
- -$7.3K
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.71K
- Potential profit
- $18.71K
- User PnL
- -$2.24K
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $796.32
- Potential payout
- $17.7K
- Potential profit
- $16.9K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.6K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.32K
- Potential profit
- $15.32K
- User PnL
- -$1.8K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.68K
- Potential profit
- $14.68K
- User PnL
- -$2.13K
No position
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.57K
- Potential profit
- $13.57K
- User PnL
- -$2.64K
Yes position
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.71K
- Potential profit
- $12.71K
- User PnL
- -$3.67K
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $6.05K
- Potential payout
- $11.31K
- Potential profit
- $5.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $347.9
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.02K
- Potential profit
- $11.02K
- User PnL
- -$4.38K
Yes position
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.76K
- Potential profit
- $10.76K
- User PnL
- -$2.56K
Yes position
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.63K
- Potential profit
- $10.63K
- User PnL
- -$1.72K
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Yes position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.96K
- Potential profit
- $9.96K
- User PnL
- -$645.25
No position
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.73K
- Potential profit
- $9.73K
- User PnL
- -$3.19K
No position
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.43K
- Potential profit
- $9.43K
- User PnL
- -$6.6K
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.07K
- Potential profit
- $9.07K
- User PnL
- -$2.03K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $87.4K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.25K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $30.95K
Yes position
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.68K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.01K
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.55K
No position
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.87K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.77K
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.49K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.21K
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.94K
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.86K
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.16K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.3K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11K
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.31K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.13K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6K
Yes position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2K
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.12K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 49.6% 544.63 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 48% 5,340.6 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 34% 2,684.26 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 29% 11 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 37% 5,500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 38% 5,625.84 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 36% 425.61 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 36% 3,279.68 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 33% 4,344.33 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 51% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 95.9% 143,088.13 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 29% 8,078.82 shares